The environment is simply too uncertain for anyone to conclude that they must buy stocks based on fear of missing out.
3 minute read
President Trump posted on Monday that his representatives were negotiating to end the war. Iran posted back that it was a lie. What should investors do?
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The risk is that the war lasts longer than expected and the shipping industry takes even longer to recover. The recent weakness in financial markets could be an amuse-bouche before a bearish feast.
3 minute read
Rather than trying to buy stocks at the apex of fear based off volatility signals, consider integrating gasoline prices into your decision-making.
3 minute read
Aggressive investors who can handle extreme uncertainty can establish exposure to whatever rally erupts should a detente emerge.
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Our “time arbitrage” strategy, which monetizes short-term volatility for long-term gain, provides a simple framework for making decisions amid uncertainty.
3 minute read
Most investors stink at hedging—even the pros. They mostly buy puts near a stock’s current price, thinking they will make lots of money if it declines even more.
3 minute read
Options trading is a way of thinking and acting that provides a solid framework for decision-making.
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Anyone who agrees the S&P 500 could cross that landmark can mimic the private-market trades by trading call options on the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF.
3 minute read
Financial markets have a new attitude, exemplified by innovations like prediction markets and zero-dated options. Many people view the markets as a casino.
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The new CEO could enhance the company’s returns on its massive cash position with a simple options strategy: cash-secured put sales.
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Few people can trade options for the sake of options, but anyone can use options to be a better stock investor.
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By selling a bearish put to buy a bullish call option on a silver exchange-traded fund, investors can edge into one of the hottest trades in global markets.
3 minute read
Lululemon’s management is under pressure. It is reasonable to expect they will use January to tidy up their affairs and reset investor expectations.
3 minute read
The Cboe Volatility Index’s long-term average is around 19, so the present level of 14 suggests peace in markets and goodwill toward investors. At least for a month.
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There is nothing wrong with big banks stuffing marketing channels with 2026 predictions—it’s a fun, useful exercise—but there is little reason to do much more than read and reflect.
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The expected appointment of a Trump-friendly Federal Reserve chair in May could drive stocks higher—but it could also introduce some nasty risks.
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Aggressive investors who want to wager that fear turns to greed can focus on Strategy and Coinbase Global, either by buying the stocks or turning to the options market.
3 minute read
Let overconfident investors make hasty decisions. Let them wager on a day’s move with short-dated options—Wall Street’s equivalent of scratch-off lottery tickets.
3 minute read
Investors concerned about volatility tied to the Dec. 10 Fed rate-cut decision can stake out a position with options on the small-cap iShares Russell 2000 ETF.
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