Name: Will the 'Big Beautiful Bill' Stay Beautiful?
Uploaded: 2025-05-25T14:01:00Z
Duration: 6 min 14 s
Description: Journal Editorial Report: Trump's legislation runs the Congressional gauntlet.

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Under CEO Cristiano Amon, semiconductor company Qualcomm is bringing its technology to multiple industries. This conversation was recorded on May 28, 2025.

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Qualcomm CEO Shares the Company's Disruption Strategy

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NYU Langone CEO Says This Can Help the U.S. Government Fix Healthcare

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How This Massive NYC Health System Changed Its Business Model

"The economic implications for the U.S. are profound," said Greg Case, CEO of Aon.

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Why Aon's CEO Is Betting on GLP-1 and Other Weight-Loss Meds

"It creates opportunity, which is terrific, but it also creates volatility," said Greg Case, CEO of Aon, talking about the connectivity and complexity underpinning today's business environment.

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Why Aon's CEO Thinks Volatility Isn't Going Anywhere

Greg Case, CEO of Aon, explains 4 causes of global volatility the risk manager helps clients navigate.

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4 Megatrends That Cause Volatility in the World: Aon CEO

Scott Bok, the former board chair of the University of Pennsylvania, breaks down the financial risks and implications that come with removing tax-exempt status from colleges and universities.

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Taking Away Tax-Exempt Status: A “Nuclear Weapon Against Universities”

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S&P 4700?

David Bailin, chief investment officer of Citi Global Wealth, offers his take on the latest IPO activity and what it says about the strength of capital markets.

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IPOs: Making a Comeback

Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, explains what would make him more bullish on stocks and when he sees a Fed rate cut coming.

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Cuts on the Horizon?

Tom Kennedy, chief investment strategist for J.P. Morgan Global Wealth Management, explains why he thinks concerns around a slowdown in China are overblown.

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Evaluating China Risk

Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, discusses how market moving the August inflation data could be.

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Inflation in the Spotlight

Lindsey Piegza, chief economist at Stifel, offers her take on the biggest risks to the economy right now.

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Assessing Economic Headwinds 

Dan Ives, managing director and senior equity analyst at Wedbush Securities, explains why he thinks Apple will continue to be a market leader.

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Prove-me Moment

Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, highlights bullish catalysts that could drive the market higher between now and year-end.

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Gearing up for a Rally

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Recession Ahead 

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David Bailin of Citi Global Wealth and Saira Malik of Nuveen debate the probability of a recession and discuss where they’re finding opportunities in equities and fixed income.

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Investing in a Slowing Economy 

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Chris Harvey of Wells Fargo Securities explains why he believes the Federal Reserve is done hiking interest rates while J.P. Morgan Global Wealth Management’s Tom Kennedy makes the case for multi-asset investing.

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Rate Hikes in the Rearview?

Lindsey Piegza of Stifel discusses the upside risks for inflation while SoFi’s Liz Young explains why she’s cautious on the market through year-end.

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Pricing Pressure & Frothy Valuations

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September to Remember? 

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Time to be Skeptical?

Anastasia Amoroso of iCapital explains why she thinks the stock market rally is nearing a ceiling while U.S. Bank Wealth Management’s Lisa Erickson discusses where she’s finding investment opportunities in an uncertain environment.

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Hitting a Wall

Jack Manley of J.P. Morgan Asset Management explains why now is the time to leg back into risk assets while BlackRock’s Rick Rieder offers his top fixed income opportunities.

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Two Ways to Play

Amid impressive January gains, Cameron Dawson of New Edge Wealth discusses how she’s positioning her portfolio and Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics explains why he thinks the economy can still avoid a recession.

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Gauging Upside Potential

Mike Schumacher of Wells Fargo Securities explains why he’s nervous about stagflation while Sylvia Jablonski of Defiance Investments offers her top portfolio picks.

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The Fed's Rate Pause, Explained

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Stock Splits Are Big This Year. Here's What They Mean for Investors.

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What to Know About Roth IRA Conversions

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Billionaire-backed space companies have made space tourism a reality. How to participate in a potential private-sector space boom.

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Is Tesla Miles Ahead of Others in the Electric Vehicle Race?

Chinese tech company DiDi Global, which runs a ride-sharing app, has announced it plans to delist from the New York Stock Exchange. Investors are watching and waiting to see what other Chinese giants with U.S. listings, like Alibaba and JD.com, will do. Here's what delisting entails.

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CEO Cristiano Amon has a plan to shrink Qualcomm’s reliance on phones and grow its role in AI, cars, and beyond. Investors are skeptical—should they be?

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On the Barron's Streetwise Podcast, Barron’s senior writer Al Root sits down with Jack Hough to discuss Toyota’s recent success with hybrids, the coolest cars at the New York Auto Show, and what’s ahead for Tesla stock.

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On the Barron’s Streetwise podcast, Rystad Energy’s Alexandre Ramos Peon discusses how U.S. oil producers have boosted profitability and production despite fewer wells.

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Journal Editorial Report: Trump's legislation runs the Congressional gauntlet. Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

https://m.wsj.net/video/20250523/16646a1c-a00e-423e-bf6e-c65a7230acd2/1/hls/manifest-hd-wifi.m3u8

Journal Editorial Report: Trump's legislation runs the Congressional gauntlet.

Will the 'Big Beautiful Bill' Stay Beautiful?

Today, the House has passed generational, truly nation-shaping legislation to reduce spending and permanently lower taxes for families and job creators, secure the border, unleash American energy dominance, restore peace through strength, and make government work more efficiently and effectively for all Americans.

That was House Speaker Mike Johnson on Thursday celebrating the passage of President Trump's "Big, Beautiful Bill." The House narrowly approved the sweeping tax and spending package early on Thursday after some arm twisting by the president and some last minute tweaks to get Republican holdouts on board. The bill now heads to the Senate where major changes are likely as the GOP scrambles to get it to the President's desk, they say by the 4th of July. So we're back with our panel. Jason, let me start with you. I think we should probably say, first of all, given that Speaker Johnson has this tiny majority, in the House, given that that's a very fractious Republican coalition there, if you like, Republican caucus, that getting any kind of a measure together with all of the competing elements in the caucus, was a pretty significant achievement.

Oh, I would agree. This was a political win for Republicans in that sense. The question is whether on policy grounds, it's a political win for the country. And one of the problems here is how you contrast this with what went on in Trump's first term in terms of putting together a tax bill. And that was a bill that was cohered around a sense of principles, one being economic growth. Everything we're doing here is going to be about growing the economy, expanding opportunities for people, getting rid of exorbitant taxes on businesses so that they'll repatriate profits and so forth. And you could see that, you could see that in everything that was done around it. This time it seems very much a grab bag, lots of gimmicks. I don't wanna be overly optimistic about it. I do like some aspects of it. Defense spending is gonna go up. With student loans, schools are gonna have some skin in the game. The tax cuts will not, will be extended on personal income. So there are some good things in here, but I do think that there are a lot of gimmicks in here that aren't gonna do much for economic growth. And that's particularly a problem because we have this tariff overhang here, and I was hoping that we get a tax bill that could sort of counter the damage that the tariffs could do to the economy.

Kyle, the problem is when you make a sausage of this scale, a sausage, a multi-trillion dollar sausage, there's a lot of very unedifying things that go into it, as Jason has said, you know, this includes overall potentially its effect on the deficit, which a lot of people are gonna be concerned about, and we'll talk about that a bit in a minute. But what are the elements of it for you that are either beneficial or the ones that you are concerned about?

Yeah, not only is it sausage making, but everybody's working off different recipes, and that's part of the problem here. But I guess I would, the best argument forward, I think, is that all Republicans I think are agreed that they don't want those 2017 tax cuts to expire. That'd be a $4.5 trillion tax increase next year. They didn't want that to happen. And then there were elements where the SALT caucus that wants a little bit of something, so that state and local deduction, which is terrible policy is gonna go up. That's a step back from the 2017 reforms. Another thing that I think is a downside, not very good for economic growth are these carve outs for no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, but those were things that president promised on the 2024 campaign trail. So Republicans felt they had to do something there. What will be interesting to see is how the Senate now handles the bill and whether the Senate can improve it and address some of these downsides and make it a better package. I mean, notably the SALT caucus is Republicans in New York, New Jersey, California, no Republican senators from those states, notably. So there's not much of a Senate SALT caucus,

Dan, as it goes to the Senate, I mean, not only is there, are the Senate and the House so far apart from what we understand so far on both the tax and the spending side of this, but Republican senators themselves are pretty far apart within the Senate. You've got someone like Ron Johnson for whom this bill doesn't go far enough in terms of the deficit and especially cutting spending, some things like Medicaid, but against that, you've got someone like Josh Hawley who has written publicly that no, no, no, we've gotta protect Medicaid. Where, I mean, where do they even start? I mean, how, what kind of a bill is likely to emerge from the Senate and how is it gonna be reconciled?

Well, I think, I think if conservatives are on the right track in raising these questions about spending as Senator Johnson is, Rand Paul is very, Senator Paul is very upset about the size of the debt. And I'll tell you, Jerry, I think, for years most Americans have just sort of watched Congress spend. The figures are hard to comprehend. I think the deficit and especially the debt, well over $30 trillion, has become a political issue. People are aware that it is affecting things like interest rates. So the conservatives like Chip Roy in the House are right to make this an issue. The entitlements have to be dealt with, and on Medicaid, they're trying to introduce some work requirements. I think the Republicans eventually will work this out and get something passed. It will not be perfect. But bear in mind the alternative is that Democrats don't want to do anything about entitlements, don't want to raise military spending, don't care if taxes go up, and ultimately don't care about economic growth. That is the alternative. So the Republicans at least have that argument to make.

Jason, quickly, as Dan says, the markets are really paying attention right now. It looks like we've seen this big run up in US government bond yields. You know, famous Wall Street journal writer once said that something that can't go on forever, eventually stops. And I'm wondering whether this massive runup that we've seen in the federal debt, are we getting to point where it may just have to stop?

It might, if people don't like the dollar as a store, as a currency anymore. And that's what the bond markets are telling us right now. It's a problem, it's a long-term problem, and I think it's as related to this bill as it is to what's going on with tariffs, frankly.

WSJ Opinion: Will the 'Big Beautiful Bill' Stay Beautiful?

From the award-winning opinion pages of The Wall Street Journal, the Journal Editorial Report sees columnists and members of the Journal Editorial Board debate the major economic, political and cultural issues of the day. 
From the policy debates to the political fights, each week get critical perspective and the analysis you need on developments from Washington.

WSJ Opinion: Will the 'Big Beautiful Bill' Stay Beautiful?

WSJ Opinion: Journal Editorial Report

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