Name: Bank of America CEO on Interest Rates, Inflation, and the Economy
Uploaded: 2025-06-13T14:00:00Z
Duration: 2 min
Description: Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, also discussed whether the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates.

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Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, also discussed whether the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates.

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Bank of America CEO on Interest Rates, Inflation, and the Economy

You mentioned the tax bill, Brian, and interest rates. I want to ask you about that. It's sort of a piece because the tax bill has implications for the deficit, which has implications for rates. What is your assessment on the rate environment right now? Where do you think we're going?

Well, I think our team, yeah, I think you have to start from the economic projection. So our team, basically for the US economy has a growth slowdown coming. It's already here from the third quarter of last year at 3% levels of GDP annualized growth to basically slightly positive in the first quarter. And they think it'll jump up a little bit in the second quarter and then go back down to the sub 1%. That's a 200 basis point drop in growth. So that's already happened because of the drag on interest rates, et cetera. They don't have a recession. Then the question about inflation, so first of all, they don't have a recession. That means the economy's gonna continue to grow, so the Fed will not feel compelled to drop rates to help the economy along. The second thing is unemployment's strong. Their peak unemployment projection is to get to about 4.5, 4.6 from where we are now in the middle of next year, which is not a high level unemployment in a historical context. Then the third question is, will the Fed cut rates? And they have no cuts because they think inflation will remain higher than the Fed wants for an extended period of time. And their view is as you sort through '25, the discussion about the tariffs and deficit and the budget and all those things, you get through that. What will happen is they get to the middle of next year, inflation will start to turn over just on year over year comparables and things like that. And then it'll cut rates pretty quickly down to a 3% Fed funds level, round numbers, which puts the curve more normal from three to say four-and-a-half from the Fed funds rate to 10 year. The curve has gotta get uninverted someplace or else it's indicative of something else going on. And I think they feel that the inflation under control was gonna take a long time. We may have extended that period of time a bit by the tariff regime and some of the aspects, but we'll still get outta here by mid next year and then they'll bring rates down.

Bank of America CEO on Interest Rates, Inflation, and the Economy

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