Economics


Moody’s Warns of Recession Risk if Oil Prices Stay Elevated

Moody’s economist Mark Zandi highlighted U.S. recession risks amid higher energy prices.

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Gold Price Finally Rises. Why It’s Finally Acting Like a Haven.

The price of gold rose early Tuesday, as tensions in the Middle East showed no signs of cooling.

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Charitable Giving Could Drop by $5.7 Billion Annually After Trump’s Tax Law

Philanthropy remains resilient, with wealth transfer that is putting trillions of dollars into the hands of younger generations.

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Stocks Can’t Recover While Oil Prices Surge. Why the Fed’s Unlikely to Help.

Nvidia’s Huang predicts $1 trillion in hardware sales, government bonds will keep selling off, Nebius strikes a second big AI deal, and more news to start your day.

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Spring Break Is Here. This Year Will Be Extra Crazy.

Airlines for America projects that a record 171 million passengers will travel now through April. They face higher prices and long security lines.

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The Stock Market Is Heading for a Big Drop. This Isn’t a Case of the Boy Who Cried Wolf.

The Iran war isn’t something to be ignored. It is big enough that it could actually stop the rally in its tracks, experts say.

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Tax Refunds Are Up 11.5% This Year. Who Is Getting the Most.

Refunds rose 11.5% through the end of February, providing a boon to high-income households, in particular.

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Oil Prices Fall as Trump Says Hormuz Help Is Coming. Tankers Getting Through, Bessent Adds.

Brent crude futures were trading around $102 a barrel a barrel, while U.S. oil futures climbed above $100, before falling back.

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Gen X Is Stuck in the Middle and Financially Squeezed. How One Financial Advisor Is Helping.

Wealthspire’s Zach Mangels helps Gen Xers plan so that they can simultaneously help support adult children, care for aging parents, and cope with potential job loss.

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Treasuries and Other Government Bonds Will Keep Selling Off, BlackRock Says. These Risks Are Lurking.

Bond investors shouldn’t be surprised by steeper losses because of inflation driven by higher prices for oil, AI chips, and military spending.

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U.S. Says Powell Is ‘Strongarming’ Investigation by Saying He Might Not Step Down

The Fed chair’s legal counsel says Powell’s resignation from the board was never meant to be used as a bargaining chip.

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Has the Stock Selloff Ended? Wall Street Sees Value but Remains Focused on Oil Markets.

The S&P 500 looks cheap. Is it time to buy?

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Airline CEOs Urge Congress to End Government Shutdown, Pay Airport Workers

Americans “are tired of long lines at airports, travel delays and flight cancellations caused by shutdown after shutdown,” the CEOs wrote to Congress.

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Stock Futures Barely Budge As Oil Prices Edged Higher

Investors are awaiting the start of another week, with the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision coming on Wednesday.

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Gen Z Is Full of Financial Angst. Listen to Them.

Older generations should be more empathetic to younger Americans’ money problems, Daniel C. Munson writes in a guest commentary.

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Here’s the Solution to the Deficit. Hint: It Isn’t Taxes.

Our national debt is a spending problem, not a revenue problem. Tax hikes alone can’t solve the problem—and they might even make it worse, Adam Michel writes in a guest commentary.

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Iran Wants to Keep the Strait of Hormuz Closed. Military Experts Say Reopening It Could Take Weeks.

Iran’s leader said the Strait of Hormuz should remain closed, and military experts say reopening the vital oil shipping route could take weeks or even months.

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Review & Preview: Oil Up, GDP Down

The major indexes ended Friday with a third straight weekly decline.

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Oil Prices Hover Near $100. India Asks Iran to Allow 23 Tankers Through Strait of Hormuz.

The U.S. has temporarily lifted sanctions on Russian oil already at sea, through April 11, in a bid to boost the reach of existing oil supply.

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Food Prices Could Rise as Iran Conflict Threatens Fertilizer Supplies

Roughly one-third of the world’s traded nitrogen fertilizer moves through the Strait of Hormuz. 

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Iran War Could Snarl Another Strait. Here’s How.

Closing the Bab-el-Mandeb strait near Yemen could also have a big impact on global oil shipments.

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Higher Oil Prices Could Bring a Global Economic Shock. This Is the Number to Watch.

If prices soar to $125 a barrel and stay there, it could push this crisis into a full-blown shock.

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Diane C. Swonk

Diane C. Swonk is managing director and chief economist at KPMG US.

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Stagflation Was the Curse of the ’70s. High Oil Prices Could Bring It On Again.

The combination of sluggish growth and high inflation can wreak havoc on both consumers and stock markets.

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Gold’s Tanked Since Iran War Began, Dollar’s Surged. One Thing Has Split the Havens.

Since the outbreak of war in Iran, the U.S. dollar and the price of gold have moved in opposite directions.

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